SECRET COPY- Early betting for the Southern Cross Austereo MTC Guineas Prelude (1400m) suggests it is a race in two between the Nick Olive-trained I Am Kalani who is the bookmakers top tip at around $1.85 with the last start Wagga winner, Secret Copy from the Matthew Dale stable the second pick at $2.65, however, there is enough evidence to suggest the bookies may have the wrong market order. I Am Kalani has earned favouritism through successive win on the Canberra Acton track last preparation and runner-up finishes at her latest two outings including the Albury Guineas last start. The query with I Am Kalani is the 58kg, the three-year-old daughter of I Am Invincible has never carried more than 55.5kg in her career to date with 54.5kg carried in her two wins. She may well get then job done however I Am Kalani is not an odds-on chance with such a significant weight rise. Conversely Secret Copy could not have been more impressive carrying 56.5kg to a 6 3/4-length maiden win over 1200m at Wagga last start. The three-year-old daughter of Snitzel won in a manner that suggests the step up to 1400m won’t be an issue and with plenty of scope for improvement at her third race start will test the favourite to the limit.
CASH CRISIS- We were with the Matthew Dale stable in the Guineas Prelude but happy to risk the stable’s $2.50 favourite Clipper in the Magic Albert 2018 Town Plate Prelude (1200m). Clipper is yet to win beyond 1100m and with a wide gate to boot, can run against me. Last start Albury City Handicap winner Cash Crisis represents the value in the race at $9 in early betting markets. A winner of three of his six starts in the 1150m-1200m distance range, Cash Crisis left the Country Championships third-placegetter O’ So Hazy in his wake last start and is drawn to get all the favours in running launching from barrier two and represents genuine value.
OH SO UNFAIR- Our fate at Wagga will be highly dependent on the results from the Matthew Dale Stable as once again one of his runners looks under the odds as favourite for the Kooringal Stud 2018 Murrumbidgee Cup – Heat Of The Wagga Stayers Series (1800m). Fun Tickets is a mare that has been good to us in the past, however she does go to 1800m for the first time with 59kg and must overcome a wide gate and I would be looking for at least $4.50 before considering having something on her. The Mark Gee-trained Oh So Unfair is proven at the trip winning the Tom Patton Cup at the track and distance two runs back before being outclassed in the Albury Gold Cup last start. With early betting markets having Fun Tickets at $2.80 and Oh So Unfair at $13 the latter is the horse to be on.
IMAGE OF LOVE- As a proven Armidale performer, the $13 available for the Paul Grills-trained Image Of Love looks attractive odds in the days feature, the Watson McNamara & Watt Solicitors Guyra Cup (1400m). Trained at the track, Image of Love has won two races at Armidale including the Country Championship Preview over the 1400m two runs back on March 4 before having no luck at Moree last time start when forced to race wide without cover. Image of Love is drawn to get all the favours in running from an inside draw in a race where several the key chances are drawn out. Last start Muswellbrook winner Niccobelle from the Wyong stables of Kristen Buchanan is the early favourite but may be vulnerable over the last 100m. If he gets clear running approaching the home turn Image Of Love will be the one charging late.